Washington Watches as Russia-Ukraine War Breaks Out

I will try to explain why the US, the 'Paper Tiger' as Mao so eloquently described it, cannot confront the Russian Federation, but my second point is even more striking. The question should be asked as follows: "The US has never confronted the Russian Federation, so why should it do so now?" 

The US and the Russian Federation have never confronted each other on their own territory at any stage of their shared history, and they have paid special attention and care to this. However, this does not mean that this has been the case in other geographies as well. The answer to this is a resounding no. Yes, yes, they have confronted each other, and they have openly engaged in proxy wars in Korea and Afghanistan. Let us not forget that the Potsdam Conference in July 1945 was the starting point, the ground for bipolarity, for dividing the world into two. Moreover, the borders between them were formed according to the lines of latitude. The most typical example of this is Korea. The territory of Korea was divided into two parts by the 38th latitude line and the north of this line was recognized as the Soviet and the south as the US military operation area. Let us not forget that the Russian strategic mind is as adept at turning crises into opportunities as it is at expanding its territory. 

After the US dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the Soviet Union immediately declared war on Japan and entered North Korea, advancing to the 38th latitude line. Thus, at the end of the war, Korea was de facto divided into two, with the north under Soviet occupation and the south under US occupation. This is the story of North Korea and South Korea. Let us draw a conclusion. Ukraine is also a potential Korea today. 

Let us come to the areas where the US is skillful. Let us think and answer at once.  In almost all its interventions outside the new world island, in short, in the old world island, i.e. "Afro-Eurasia", the US has made it a habit to consume those who will serve its interests. The reason for this is obvious, it does not want to increase the number of bodies sent to the US military cemetery in Washington D.C., the capital of the United States, in Arlington. The US has almost given up on this because it causes public outrage in its homeland. The US has become extremely skillful in finding and using manchurts with expiration dates and shelf lives who have given up hope for the future.  

Let us remember that before the intervention in Afghanistan in 2002, the Hungarian Jew and US financial speculator George Soros did not utter the following famous sentence for nothing. "Turkey's best export product is its army." The meaning of this sentence is clear. Turkey's sending troops to Afghanistan stems from the fact that the US wanted to have the Turkish Armed Forces as an unquestioned backup in the event of a possible US intervention in Iraq in 2003. The Turkish army was seen as a product. As a product, the mission of the Turkish army has been determined as 'Uncle Sam's Legionary' and the gendarme of his interests in the Middle East. However, despite all the conspiracies behind closed doors, Turkey was able to say no to this fait accompli. 

Today, just like in the past, the US wants to prolong the crisis it has created by prolonging the war in Ukraine as much as possible, without physically using the US Armed Forces, and by staying away from the war environment as much as possible. Everyone knows that politics is made on the blood of the Ukrainian people. Isn't the emergence and election of Zelensky also a perception operation? First of all, let us say that the US is by far the world champion in this new kind of war. Outside its own country, the word peace has never been associated with the US. The US does not want peace in Ukraine at all. Especially after having secured the blood of the Ukrainian nation through Vlodomir Zelensky, would it ever attempt peace or a ceasefire? It is a story like a Kırkpınar wrestler's tale. Zelensky is a complete perception operation on the Ukrainian people.  

The Ukrainian people have been completely bamboozled, not in the name of democracy, but in the name of "idiocracy" (government of fools). George Soros has created a fiction and a coup d'état was carried out in Kiev at the end of 2013. In fact, the plan was to teach Russia a "lesson" through Ukraine. The plan was so simple that Soros sent the money, posters and banners were prepared. Then they took to the streets in the middle of the night and shouted for the government to resign, and they did not leave the squares until the government resigned, they stayed in the squares for the sake of the uprising. 

Just like the Gezi Park protests in Turkey, the US and the EU made statements in support of Ukraine during the uprising. Many pro-Western and very influential Ukrainian politicians also encouraged this movement. Yulia Tymoshenko, the favorite of the tabloids, Petro Poroshenko and others successfully carried out their assigned tasks. To cut a long story short, the Orange Revolution was the name of the uprising led by Viktor Yushchenko against Tymoshenko's rule. As a result of numerous corruption allegations against the Tymoshenko administration, the movement ended when President Viktor Yushchenko dissolved the cabinet. Interestingly, however, apart from those who filled the squares in Kiev, the people of Ukraine did not even know about any of these events.

Both Zelensky's emergence and his election have been a complete perception operation. First of all, let us say that the US is the world leader in this new type of warfare through various civil initiatives. The Zelensky story was not designed as a long and elaborate fiction. The Kvartal95 entertainment company has cast Zelensky as the President in the series "Servant of the People", filmed in Ukraine. The year was 2015. Two and a half years after seeing the perception gain, the company jokingly created a party called 'Servant of the People' in March 2018. Before the end of 2018, Zelensky was nominated on December 31, 2018 and became President in May 2019. It really is a joke. And Zelensky's first order of business was to install his corporate co-stars at the top of the bureaucracy, including the head of the intelligence service. (1) 

Now to the present. While the US, rich in energy and war industry, insists on prolonging the war, the Russian authorities, who at the beginning of the war characterized the Kiev government as "Nazis and drug addicts", have recently started to use the term "Ukrainian partners" more and more frequently. From the perspective of international relations and in relative terms, this is in a sense a recognition of the elected government. Let us look at Russia's reasons for wanting peace talks. Russia was declared a "terrorist state" by the European Parliament in a symbolic vote, which accelerated the process of Russia's international isolation. The European Union, the G7 countries and Australia imposed a $60 cap on Russian oil. The purpose of these sanctions is directly proportional to the reduction of Moscow's huge revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons. In this way, it was aimed at making it difficult for the Russian Federation to finance the war in Ukraine. 

On the other hand, the RF stated that there would be no impact on military expenditures and that they have enough power. In fact, in a sense, this can be considered as a move to cut the way for RF to buy US shale gas. In other words, the US has relatively put forward the Netherlands to make Rotterdam a gas hub. This is the main reason why Putin declared Turkey as a gas hub where gas prices will also be determined. The second reason is the results of internal surveys conducted in Russia. The results of a secret poll conducted by the Kremlin show that 55 percent of the respondents do not want war, while only 25 percent are in favor of the continuation of the war. The Levada Center, Russia's most important independent polling agency, has reached approximately the same conclusions. (2) 

The fact that Russian men flocked to the borders to flee the country after Putin called up 300,000 reservists as part of a partial mobilization clearly confirms the argument put forward in this survey. (3)  

It is a historical fact that winter weather conditions were decisive in Russian victories against both the Napoleonic and Hitler invasions. In an environment where extremely cold winter conditions are a real obstacle for both armies fighting, it is clearly understood that the RF, which aims to demoralize Ukraine by bombing its energy infrastructure and leaving it without light and heat throughout the winter, is turning to the will and determination of the Ukrainian people to fight. In today's environment where Zelensky will not stop the war after his visit to the US, it is expected that RF will put pressure on Kiev to make territorial concessions and accept a ceasefire at all costs, especially in the Donbass region. 

Even if NATO countries declare their support for Ukraine against Russia, they also suggest that Ukraine should resort to peace talks with Russia. Hungary's veto of the European Commission's €18 billion aid to Ukraine was a reflection of this dissatisfaction on the ground, in an environment where the high inflation and high costs caused by the war are affecting large segments of the world. The Netherlands did not fully participate in the sanctions imposed by the European Union on Russia and granted dozens of exemptions to the Russian Federation. In the US Congress, many Republican representatives even called for a reduction in aid to Ukraine. 

The cracks within the EU and NATO, which are likely to widen as the RF-Ukraine war continues, prevent the US from coming to Europe and directly confronting RF in Ukraine in a serious way. At the center of all this is the fact that the US is extremely worried that its own country will be exposed to nuclear war. Calculations show that Russian nuclear missiles can reach the United States in just 10-12 minutes, and almost the entire Washington administration avoids even thinking about it. The main reason why the US cannot confront the RF is the fear that the new world island could also be exposed to nuclear war. 

However, when considered properly, the ever-increasing cost of the RF-Ukraine war, the humanitarian crises that continue to increase over time, and its negative impact on the global economy point to Istanbul that a diplomatic solution is needed as soon as possible. If the war continues, it could lead to a new "Afghanistan" or "Iraq" war on European soil, which could shift to areas adjacent to Ukraine. As a loser, it is vital that the EU focuses all its resources and capabilities on a lasting peace settlement without expanding the war environment, or it may be too late, dear readers.

Footnotes

(1) Haşmet Babaoğlu, “Sıfırlama için özel üretilmiş politikacılar”, Sabah Gazetesi,  19 Aralık 2022; https://www.sabah.com.tr/yazarlar/babaoglu/2022/12/19/sifirlama-icin-ozel-uretilmis-politikacilar/Erişim Tarihi 01.01.2023/

(2) Violeta Stratan İlbasmış, “‘Ukrayna yorgunluğu’ ve olası barış” Cumhuriyet Gazetesi, 16 Aralık 2022; https://www.cumhuriyet.com.tr/yazarlar/olaylar-ve-gorusler/ukrayna-yorgunlugu-ve-olasi-baris-dr-violeta-stratan-ilbasmis-2012383/Erişim Tarihi 01.01.2023/

(3) “Rusya'da seferberlik ilanı: Savaştan kaçan erkekler sınırda kuyruk oluşturdu.” Cumhuriyet Gazetesi, 23 Eylül 2022; https://www.cumhuriyet.com.tr/dunya/rusyada-seferberlik-ilani-savastan-kacan-erkekler-sinirda-kuyruk-olusturdu-1984177/Erişim Tarihi 01.01.2023/