USA's Afghanistan Game

Yes, the USA withdrew from Afghanistan after 20 years, but whether it lost the war or was defeated is debatable.

There are many who consider the US exit from Afghanistan a major defeat. While most of the international relations veterans describe the US ending the war in Afghanistan and leaving this country with adjectives such as "escape", "defeat", "defeat", let me first say that I am one of those who think that this withdrawal is not what it seems.

Yes, from the outside it seems that this is a defeat, an escape and a loss. However, let's not forget that all the recent events in Afghanistan were known and organized by the US authorities. So, there is no surprise defeat. After all, it is the United States itself that has agreed with the Taliban. We do not know what they agreed on, but it is known that officials of both sides met in Qatar. As a result, the United States deliberately and deliberately withdrew from Afghanistan. Let's reveal this fact.

Yes, the Afghan army did not fight, could not use the weapons allocated to it, could not maintain discipline and this came as a surprise to the USA. However, the US could not have withdrawn from Afghanistan had it wanted to. He was there for 20 years, he could stay another 20 years. “Does he have the ability and capacity to do that?” The answer to the question is obvious. The important thing here is to perceive the change in the interests and policy of the USA and to see the abandonment of the security understanding that puts values ​​into the background.

Well, then, what could be the aims of this retreat and its subsequent goals, let's examine them:

-- The USA struggled for years, activated NATO, neutralized the leader of al-Qaeda, Osama Bin-Laden, but could not end terrorism in Afghanistan. Afghanistan proved to be a failure in the fight against terrorism, with its security approach, the use of hard-line military force that does not value values ​​and cannot gain the support of the people. Seeing this, the USA turned to a new understanding. In a way, "Since we couldn't clear Afghanistan of terrorism, then let it be a home for terrorism again." they said. The gathering of not only the Taliban, but all Jihadist terrorist groups in a certain place, their deciphering, their removal from underground to above ground, and the pitting of these groups against each other were the first targets considered, and the attack of the Khorasan group of Daesh at the airport went down in history as the first spark of this conflict. Thus, the new administration of the USA started to do what it knows best, using tongs and/or proxies. A mind that predicted that terrorist groups that they could not destroy themselves would destroy each other came into play.

-- Perceiving that the biggest threat to end its hegemony comes from China and that China's "one belt and one road" theory can change the world order, the US administration put the wedge that could prevent this situation in Afghanistan. Wedge; It was established by the Taliban, which is a government that will be valid not only between China and Iran, but also between Russia and India, in a way that cuts off the ties of these countries with each other and cannot fully harmonize with any of them. So to speak, the USA created a very special and important buffer zone by leaving that area.

-- The democrats in the domestic politics of the USA have always opposed the military operations in both Afghanistan and Iraq under the leadership of the Republican presidents. Ending an endless war has been a great future domestic policy material for the democratic president of the United States.

-- Of course, the cost of this work was no longer affordable. The Biden administration realized that it had no choice but to channel its vast security spending elsewhere, particularly in Asia Pacific, where China was beginning to dominate.

As a result, “USA was defeated, defeated, burned to ashes.” As these are the expressions that the anti-US people want to hear, such approaches may bring water to their hearts, but for the realist point of view that is neither supportive nor anti-US, the situation is not what it seems. It doesn't make any sense to think that a country that currently holds the world's military, economic and technological leadership has been defeated by a bigoted and sharia-minded, messy-haired mob fighting on a pickup truck, far from science, reason and technology.

Future developments in the region will reveal whether our view is justified.

Let's live, let's see.