Why Regional Problems Never End?

You are planning to do something and you need to find the right time, what would you do?

It depends on what I am going to do, but the right time for me would probably be the most favourable time for me to achieve success in what I am going to do, I would look for that favourable time.

***

If we look at the recent developments in international relations, we can see that countries are looking for the weakest moment of the other country in order to solve their problems that have not been resolved for a long time.

In a sense, they are also trying to find the right moment for themselves.

Yes, some conflicts have started to take place in our neighbourhood. It is as if the cauldron has started to boil.

There was already a long-standing Russian-Ukrainian war, yes, I call it a war, which seems to have worn Russia down considerably.

Although it is not clear from here that Russia is in a war, that is, life is going on normally here, Russia is no longer reacting as strongly as it used to react to the problems in other regions.

That's why I started to think that the war in Ukraine has worn Russia down a bit. I could be wrong.

Perhaps Russia has had enough of the problems in the post-Soviet space, which it feels responsible for or sees as its backyard. This could also be a reason.

People here are of the opinion that the situation in Ukraine has dragged on too long. 

Even the lack of state support for the young soldiers who are conscripted and sent to the war zone causes people to raise their voices, even if only a little. 

Families are forced to buy and give things like socks, underwear, and some of them even decent costumes to their sons who are sent to the army, and this situation raises questions about the state's difficulties.

In the Karabakh issue, which was a problem between Azerbaijan and Armenia until yesterday, Russia's standing on the Azerbaijani side by keeping silent in a sense may be an indication that it does not have enough power. 

Perhaps Putin has decided that this position is more favourable to him because he got what he wanted to get.

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Yes, Armenia also made great mistakes in this process, but under normal circumstances, Russia would have been expected to use different methods of pressure on Armenia. 

Russia, on the other hand, chose the method of punishing Armenia by allowing Azerbaijan to have more say in Karabakh. 

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Politicians are now discussing what Azerbaijan, with the support of Turkey, can do about the Zangezur corridor.

The Zangezur corridor is very important for Azerbaijan in terms of land access to the Nakhchivan region, as well as strategically important for the unification of the Turkic world.

However, Iran also has various reservations on this issue and if this region, which is a direct link between Armenia and Iran, is under Azerbaijani control, Iran will be one of the countries that will be affected the most. Armenia, on the other hand, will be even more isolated than it is now, as it will be surrounded by Georgia on one side, Turkey on the other and Azerbaijan on all other borders.

That is why especially Iran has great reservations about the Zangezur corridor. Is there a solution to this issue? 

Maybe! Time will tell.

***

I have already written about Syria long ago, Russia does not intervene in Syria as much as it used to because it has received what it will get. 

It already sees the Akkuyu nuclear power plant as another base it has established in the region.

In other words, it may think that it does not need to intervene in this region as much as before.

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Another regional problem is Israel and Hamas' attack on Israel.

For the time being, Russia has not said anything in a high tone on this issue.

In fact, the relations between Israel and Russia are quite good. There are many Jews of Russian origin living in Israel and they have a great influence on Russia.

However, perhaps due to Israel's stance in favour of Azerbaijan on the Karabakh issue, Russia seems to have chosen to follow the developments in Israel for the time being.

Normally, one would expect the Israeli intelligence organisation MOSSAD to have very close relations with Russian intelligence, and one would expect the Russians to warn Israel about Hamas' preparations even if MOSSAD's intelligence was not sufficient.

But, no, the Mossad seems to have fallen short in terms of intelligence and the Russians do not seem to have shown sufficient support.

Is this only because the Russians are angry with Israel? Or is it that Russian intelligence is not as strong in the region as it used to be?

Moreover, Iran-Russia relations are quite good and it is well known that Hamas is backed by Iran.

Could it be that Russia prefers Israel to be chastised by another hand, just like in the Karabakh issue?

I think so! Especially for a Russia that has lost enough power, it may be logical for Russia to approach the issues in this way.

What about good relations with Israel from Russia's point of view?

Hamas is not a very difficult problem for Israel to solve. So what if a few Israelis die in the meantime! Israel should realise that without Russia's support it will not be able to get accurate intelligence in the region! 

On the other hand, it will be a little bit punished for what it did in Karabakh.

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Are international relations so simple?

Yes, especially considering the fact that the governments of the countries in the region are far from democracy, their perspectives on the issues can be reduced to such personal dimensions. Unfortunately, this is the situation.

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What will happen if the innocent people living in the Gaza region die because Israel is now attacking with excessive force, especially in the Gaza region?

Yes, that's exactly what will happen! Israel has already openly declared that it will attack Gaza with excessive force because we are at war, run away.

Has the world reacted to this open threat of Israel?

Silence!

That is why this order, in which human life has no value, must change as soon as possible!

How will this order change?

If I knew, believe me, I would try to write about it.

Unfortunately, there is nothing I can do from here for now except to regret the developments.

I hope that the situation will calm down soon and there will not be too many people affected by the conflicts.

Love and respect to everyone from Moscow.