Increasing Polarizations in the International System
The biggest handicap of Europe is the inadequacy of energy resources. This problem does not exist in the USA, in fact, the USA has been climbing up the list of energy exporting countries recently. However, as we all know, America does not hesitate to reach out to everywhere in order to have its energy resources under its control.
What is the difference between Western civilization and other countries?
Europe in the darkness of the Middle Ages has become the center of attraction for the world, taking the winds of the Renaissance, industrial revolutions and technological developments behind it, especially as the influence of the church in the state administration decreased.
Today we call it western civilization, but in fact, the resources of these civilizations have been insufficient throughout history. After all the wars among themselves and the ensuing peace and the lack of resources, the solution paved the way for the exploitation of all world resources after the period of geographical discoveries. As a result, the spread of Christianity and colonialism through missionaries became the primary target. Although the effects of religious expansionism remain, the colonial era seems to be over in the present day. However, imperial ambitions did not end, and it will not end at this rate.
Yes, there is still a tremendous pressure to migrate to the west from underdeveloped countries. Just like butterflies flying into the light, the waves of immigration from Africa and the Middle East, and even from Central Asia, are forcing Europe to change the codes of the supreme civilization that has been established, and to take an ambivalent attitude on both human rights and interstate law.
Although, this situation does not suit Europe in some cases, as the cheap labor force they have carefully chosen. Europeans, who do not want to sit comfortably at home and do especially difficult and dirty work, seem a little satisfied with the situation as long as they are eager to do these jobs.
When we say Western civilization, of course, we are not only talking about Europe. We have to accept the United States of America, which was founded less than 250 years ago (July 4, 1776), by people with an adventurous spirit or who did not want to tolerate the oppression of the British monarchy in the time beyond the ocean, as a western civilization. Although the USA is not that much affected by African and Middle Eastern migrations with its geographical advantage, it faces a similar problem, especially on the Mexican border. It receives a lot of immigration, especially from the poor countries of Central America, due to the oppressive regimes in these countries. It is actually very ironic that the United States of America, which is already an invasion country, is disturbed by these immigrations.
USA's Difference, Europe's Handicap:
The biggest handicap of Europe is the inadequacy of energy resources. This problem does not exist in the USA, in fact, the USA has been climbing up the list of energy exporting countries recently. However, as we all know, America does not hesitate to reach out to everywhere in order to have its energy resources under its control.
Aside from energy, there is another problem as important as energy for both America and Europe. It's a market problem. Western civilizations, which derive their strength from the marketing of their high-tech products to the world at high prices, are now on the verge of losing this power to Asian and far eastern countries, especially the People's Republic of China, which developed their technology sometimes with technological theft, sometimes with backward engineering and copying. This situation is causing economic wars between the two giants of the United States of America and the People's Republic of China for now, but there is no guarantee that it will not cause hot wars in the future.
Situation of Russia:
On the other hand, although Russia is not that advanced technologically on its own, it is still a major military threat, especially with its nuclear technology. For many years, "Rusaphobia" has created a great fear for Europe, although the Russians are not much different from Europe in terms of culture. The counter-reaction fueled by this fear, on the other hand, fuels the desire to exploit Russia's rich underground resources with ancient motives, and imperial ambitions set Russia as the main target for the fragmentation and exploitation of such large lands.
This is the real reason for today's Ukraine war. Russia was dragged into the war with insidious plans. Let's see if Putin, forced to war, can get out of the wolf trap, time will tell.
For now, it is trying to resist the attack of western civilization from every direction by taking measures in its own way. For this purpose, first of all, it tries not to make the public feel the effects of economic attacks in order to keep the unity in the country intact, and does its best for this purpose.
For example, it takes care not to increase the prices of anything under state control. In free market conditions, it tries to keep the prices of imported goods in balance, sometimes by subsidizing it, and sometimes by changing the source of imports.
The result is successful for now, the turbulent market seems to have calmed down at the first moment. The ruble was brought back under control. The quiet life continues as before.
Especially since it started to sell oil and natural gas, which are its main export products, in rubles, with the latest decisions, it closed the valves of natural gas pipes going to countries that could not comply with this rule or did not accept it. Lastly, Germany got its share from this and it was not left short. Valves in Germany were also closed. I don't know much about how Germany will be affected by this situation, experts will make more accurate comments, but I will continue to watch to see if the valves will open again and if they can reach an agreement, we will see together.
Russia-China Economic Cooperation:
For now, there is no decrease in gas production, the gas has already started to flow towards the People's Republic of China.
This situation looks positive in terms of Russia-China economic cooperation. As they are two large countries that potentially need each other, they have already made the necessary agreements to further develop their economic cooperation. I don't know if one side starts to influence the other with a dominant interest in time. But for now, the needle seems to be in balance. If Russia delays in developing its own technology, I can say that in the future, Russia may be under the influence of China. The visible western civilizations, on the one hand, Russia and China, on the other hand, are taking firm steps towards polarization in the world.
We will live and see together, let's see how this polarization will blow the world away, what the future is capable of, we will wait and see.
Are we in this polarization or will we be able to stay neutral as in the second world war and stay out of it? It seems to me that we will have to make our decision soon.
Conclusion:
It is against my mind to be neutral, but to achieve this we must be strong and determined. We also have to be economically independent. Does it seem possible from there? It seems a little difficult.
As I always say, strength comes from unity. There is a whole Turkish geography that we will unite with. If we can do that, maybe we can keep ourselves out of this conflict.
For now, we are unaware of what is going on in the world with the efforts of polarization within ourselves. Even though it seems like summer ahead, winter is on the way, winter is approaching.
Love and respect from Moscow.