Will the MHP Join the Table of Six?
Even though each party seeks the votes of all voters in Turkey, and each voter is free to vote for whomever he/she wants according to his/her own opinion, the past elections have shown that the voters supporting this third group are very loyal to their parties. Therefore, they can direct their votes one way or the other depending on their party's stance.
Turkish politics is almost divided into two groups. The People's Alliance on one side and the National Alliance on the other.
There is of course a third group, a group gathered around the HDP.
There is even a fourth group.
There are also those who do not belong to any group for now. One of them even wanted to join the national alliance recently. Although his request to sit at the table was not accepted, but I know they found a solution and he joined the alliance.
For now, this third group is mostly ignored by both alliances.
Even though both alliances hold some meetings with this third group behind closed doors, these meetings are not brought to light and relations are maintained at a certain distance. For example, in the case of the HDP, official relations are only conducted within the parliament. For some reason, the HDP itself cannot openly say what everyone wants to hear.
The recent open meeting between the ruling party and the HDP for the constitutional amendment caused serious polemics in the political arena. When you negotiate, the HDP is legally a party, when we negotiate, it's a joke.
Yes, technically, the votes of both alliances have not yet reached the 50+1% mark required by the new electoral system. Citizens will be bored with the surveys conducted by the polling firms; they cannot get any precise information. The results are very volatile. For some reason, the results of the surveys conducted by the polling firms close to both parties are like a chisel, always on their own side.
Therefore, both alliances need the votes of this third group of voters.
In fact, there are no voters of any party, everyone is free to vote. They can vote for whomever they want. So when I say voters, I am talking about voters who voted for this group in the last election.
Even though every party seeks the votes of all voters in Turkey, and every voter is free to vote for whomever they want according to their own opinion, the voters who support this third group have shown in the past elections that they are very loyal to their parties. Therefore, depending on their party's stance, they can direct their votes one way or the other.
In this situation, both main alliances, if they somehow want the votes of these voters, have to communicate with this third group. Openly or behind closed doors, but if the party leadership can somehow be persuaded, the votes of the voters can be guaranteed to a certain extent.
So far, I think I have laid everything out as it is. Some of you may say, "No, you are wrong," but my aim is nothing more than to assess the situation as objectively as possible.
Now, if we take another look at the situation from the perspective of both alliances: In order for the alliances to increase their vote share, the only thing they can do other than getting the votes of this third group is to get votes from each other.
And the way to do this is to somehow convince the voters of the other alliance to vote for their alliance.
Both alliances are already doing their best for this purpose.
One side, the ruling party, is using the state means at its disposal to offer carrots, if you'll pardon the expression, to the voters in different ways. Cheap housing project, EYT, high minimum wage etc.
Moreover, it tries to prevent voters from changing their minds by making a continuous propaganda to the voters, at least to its own voters, through the press under its control.
Of course, it is not so easy for him to convince his voters to stand by him as before because of the economic crisis that the country is in due to mismanagement.
For the time being, at least he can prevent a certain number of voters from changing their minds by using religious rhetoric in his language.
Let's talk about the other alliance. Yes, with the self-sacrificing work done, the Millet alliance, which we call the six-table for now, is also preparing for the elections in its own way.
Although they are still in a serious disorganization, the sextet seems to be a great hope for the anti-government voters.
It is also a great threat to the government.
The table of six is like a wooden table whose legs are out of place; whatever you put on it wobbles, as if it would collapse if you put something heavy on it. If the leaders sitting around the table did not hold the table, anything placed on the table would spill the contents of the glasses on the table from the shaking.
Can the legs of the table be strengthened in time? We will have to wait and see together.
Since this shaking can be observed from the outside, the ruling party is constantly making moves that will shake the table even more.
In my opinion, Mr. Erdoğan's recent comments to Ms. Akşener about what are you doing around that table is one of these moves. Erdoğan is very cunning, he knows very well where the soft underbelly of the table of six lies.
Okay, for now the opposition is trying to make some decisions amongst itself, but if the aim is to succeed in the elections and the way to do that is to get votes from the other side, is there any other move that needs to be made other than making propaganda for themselves?
I mentioned above how parties can influence the votes of their voters.
One more question comes to my mind, if Mr. Erdoğan is asking Ms. Meral what are you doing around that table, come and join me, why doesn't he ask the same question to the MHP or Mr. Bahçeli at the table of six?
Yes, what do you think is the reason for Mr. Bahçeli's wholehearted support for Mr. Erdoğan?
And without even asking for any positions in the government for himself or members of his party!
For example, there is no MHP minister in the cabinet.
Okay, Mr. Bahçeli's support for the Minister of Interior is obvious.
But what I am talking about is an administrative staff directly belonging to the MHP. There is no such minister!
Does anyone at the table of six know what Mr. Bahçeli got from Mr. Erdoğan, what he asked for in order to support him so wholeheartedly?
Does anyone really know how Mr. Erdoğan convinced Mr. Bahçeli?
Did it ever occur to anyone to make an offer to Mr. Bahçeli saying, whatever Mr. Erdoğan has given you, whatever advantage you have in the People's Alliance, we accept it all, come and join the table of six?
Maybe Mr. Bahçeli will accept this offer, does anyone know?
I think you can even raise your hand, we can see that Erdoğan insists on his own way on some issues. What if you could guarantee that you come, we have no intention to insist on anything, as long as you come and join us, we will do whatever you want? Maybe this offer would be a reasonable offer for Mr. Bahçeli too.
Mr. Bahçeli is a reasonable person, he also sees that Erdoğan is making serious mistakes on some issues. For now, he may be in a deadlock. Couldn't he also be looking for an honorable exit from the People's Alliance?
He said so many words to us, he called us zillet, he said this, he said that.
Don't say he can't go back on his word after this hour. He forgot what he said about Erdoğan before. The point he has reached is obvious. He even said that milk cannot be milked from a goat. Now he can declare that our candidate is Mr. Erdoğan without any problem. That is what I mean, don't worry about it.
Didn't he make a 180° turn in his statements about HDP just last weeks?
I mean, it's okay, as long as you know what he wants, I think you have a chance to convince him. And I think your chances are quite high. As I said, you just need to find out what the magic of this job is.
For example, he likes to watch TV series, maybe it will be enough to broadcast a series he likes on a channel close to you.
As the opposition, if you want to get votes from the voters of the People's Alliance, I think this could be a good experiment. In my opinion, this task falls to the CHP.
I think that its voters are also tired of its party's blink-and-you'll-miss-it tactics, and at least the MHP voters will be relieved if the CHP can convince Mr. Bahçeli to join the six-party table.
I think this is worth a try.
It is not difficult, go and ask him directly, what should we give him?
Love and respect to everyone from Moscow