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Are the polls telling the truth?

Metal fatigue on the one hand, the difficult economic situation in the country on the other, and Mr. Erdoğan's health condition on top of it, have scared people a lot. From an objective point of view, it is clear that a change is needed. On the other hand, there is the opposition. A table of six that has been subjected to various debates in front of everyone's eyes, and all six parties are not alike. Mr. Kılıçdaroğlu's leadership has barely been accepted.

The elections are just around the corner and polling firms are constantly trying to gauge voters' preferences in some way.

Most of the announced poll results are manipulative.

The results of the polling firms, which can be called neutral, show that the election will be a knife-edge.

Okay, the polling methods may be completely scientific. And the results may be accurate.

So the election may indeed be on a knife-edge.

On the one hand, the government, which has been ruling this country for twenty-one years, has been able to do whatever it wants with all its years of experience.

It has even twisted and turned the electoral law to its heart's content.

With some of the things it has done so far, it has been able to gain the favor of the conservative masses in particular.

Moreover, its leader, like Mr. Erdoğan, has become an idol for some.

However, as the saying goes, the government is now, in the words of its leader, a bit tired.

Metal fatigue on the one hand, the difficult economic situation in the country on the other, and Mr. Erdoğan's health condition have scared people a lot.

From an objective point of view, it is clear that a change is needed.

On the other hand, there is the opposition. A table of six that has been subjected to various debates in front of everyone's eyes, and all six parties are not alike.

Mr. Kılıçdaroğlu's leadership has barely been accepted.

The only advantage of the opposition is that it has been able to show its performance through the metropolitan municipalities it won in the last local elections.

If this was not the case, people might have wondered. But no, the opposition has also been able to show its performance.

I think the opposition also has a certain advantage in election campaigns.

They have the chance to organize rallies in many cities at the same time with multiple leaders.

Unfortunately, the government does not have this chance. The voters only want to see Mr. Erdoğan at the rallies and this is not physically possible.

Mr. Erdoğan's health does not allow it anyway.

More than the rallies, the government is hoping for the inaugurations of the investments made by the state.

It does not matter that these investments were made with state support.

The government can say, "Look, we did this" and excite its voters, who have become supporters, with enthusiasm at these openings.

Still, as I said, when it comes to election campaigns, I can say that the opposition has an advantage.

But if the opposition really has such an advantage, why do the polls still show a knife-edge result?

This is really a difficult question with an unknown answer.

Maybe people are not telling the pollsters what they really think.

Maybe the rate of those who are still undecided is quite high. Maybe there are those who will observe the situation until the last day and decide accordingly.

Or maybe they habitually give standard answers to the pollsters, and in fact, until the last minute, voters expect a discourse that they can be convinced by both sides.

We will know the outcome when the election is held.

However, my feeling is that the polling firms will make a big mistake after the elections.

Voters can mislead everyone to a great extent.

In fact, I would not be surprised if the result is 60% opposition and 40% government.

Can such a result be possible?

If we look at the rally grounds, it is not impossible.

The winds of change have already started to blow. There is also a current. Whose sails will inflate with these winds, who will reach the harbor first, we will all understand together on the night of the election.

I am very curious to see who Mr. İnce will send a message to this time.

Let's see which man will win!

Last word, most of the polls are quite manipulative, keep that in mind!

Love and respect to everyone from Moscow

Araştırmacı Yazar Deniz BURSALIOĞLU
Author Deniz BURSALIOĞLU
All Articles

  • 01.05.2023
  • Time : 4 min
  • 1824 Read

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